TTP TAKE THE PITCH MLB · PAPER TRIAL
PAPER TRIAL — 26765 SIGNALS GRADED
THE LEDGER
Every graded signal, in the order it was graded. Nothing removed, ever.
GRADED
26765
MEASURED
16600
AVG CLV
+0.8%
RECORD
14887–11878–0

THE CLOCKS · EACH MARKET RACES TO 200

VERDICTS ARE PER MARKET · CLV DECIDES
Batter Hits
5577/200+1.0%4710–4343–0
iterate the model, not the stakes: avg CLV +1.03% is positive but under the +1.5% scale-in bar
Batter Total Bases
5445/200+0.8%4773–4188–0
iterate the model, not the stakes: avg CLV +0.81% is positive but under the +1.5% scale-in bar
Batter Walks
4989/200+0.6%4905–2915–0
iterate the model, not the stakes: avg CLV +0.58% is positive but under the +1.5% scale-in bar
Pitcher Walks
589/200+1.2%499–432–0
iterate the model, not the stakes: avg CLV +1.16% is positive but under the +1.5% scale-in bar
Batter Home Runs
0/200—
!

How these numbers were measured: closing-line capture on this system failed silently until July 23, 2026, and the CLV figures published on this page before that date were wrong. Of 26765 graded signals, 10165 carry no closing-line measurement and are excluded from every CLV figure on this page — a missing close is left blank, never counted as zero. The averages here rest on the 16600 signals where a real closing price was captured within 60 minutes of first pitch. 3216 of those closed against fewer than three books quoting the line. One market — pitcher walks — has no close measured against three or more books at all; its average rests entirely on two-book closes (n=589). A full written account follows in the notebook.

CUMULATIVE CLV — THE WHOLE STORY IN ONE LINE

ABOVE 0 = BEATING THE CLOSE
0 +13742.7%
Running total of closing-line value across every measured signal on the live verdict clocks, in grading order. Above the dashed zero line, the model has been beating the close; below it, the market has been winning the argument.

GRADED LEDGER · LAST 60

CLV OUTRANKS W–L
DATESIGNALMARKET LOGGEDCLOSECLV RESULT
10·17Richie Palacios — Under 0.5Batter Hits-102-122+8.8%L
10·17Steven Kwan — Over 0.5Batter Hits-217-2170.0%W
10·17Taylor Walls — Under 0.5Batter Hits-130-167+10.7%L
10·17Travis Bazzana — Over 0.5Batter Hits-136-143+2.1%W
10·17Victor Mesa Jr. — Under 0.5Batter Hits+115+124-4.0%L
10·17Petey Halpin — Under 0.5Batter Total Bases-104-105+0.5%W
10·17Richie Palacios — Under 0.5Batter Total Bases-108-114+2.6%L
10·17Steven Kwan — Under 1.5Batter Total Bases-197-198+0.2%W
10·17Travis Bazzana — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-143-1430.0%W
10·17Richie Palacios — Over 0.5Batter Walks+250+2500.0%L
10·17Steven Kwan — Under 0.5Batter Walks-265-2650.0%W
10·17Taylor Walls — Over 0.5Batter Walks+204+166+14.3%L
10·17Travis Bazzana — Under 0.5Batter Walks-375-362-0.8%L
10·17Victor Mesa Jr. — Over 0.5Batter Walks+250+230+6.1%L
10·17Yandy Diaz — Over 0.5Batter Walks+197+178+6.8%L
10·17Brayan Rocchio — Over 0.5Batter Hits-115-1150.0%W
10·17Chase DeLauter — Over 0.5Batter Hits-198-203+0.8%W
10·17Jo Adell — Over 0.5Batter Hits-155-1550.0%W
10·17Liam Hicks — Over 0.5Batter Hits-155-1550.0%L
10·17Petey Halpin — Under 0.5Batter Hits-104-111+3.2%W
10·17Brayan Rocchio — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-115-1150.0%W
10·17Chase DeLauter — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-192-1920.0%W
10·17Jo Adell — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-152-1520.0%W
10·17Jonathan Aranda — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-182-179-0.6%W
10·17Junior Caminero — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-172-1720.0%W
10·17Liam Hicks — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-152-1520.0%L
10·17Patrick Bailey — Under 0.5Batter Total Bases-106-108+0.9%L
10·17Brayan Rocchio — Under 0.5Batter Walks-500-5000.0%W
10·17Chase DeLauter — Under 0.5Batter Walks-210-195-2.4%W
10·17Jo Adell — Under 0.5Batter Walks-384-361-1.3%W
10·17Jonathan Aranda — Over 0.5Batter Walks+150+1500.0%W
10·17Jonny Deluca — Under 0.5Batter Walks-375-350-1.5%W
10·17Jose Ramirez — Under 0.5Batter Walks-310-300-0.8%L
10·17Junior Caminero — Over 0.5Batter Walks+166+143+9.5%L
10·17Liam Hicks — Over 0.5Batter Walks+185+175+3.6%L
10·17Nathaniel Lowe — Under 0.5Batter Walks-340-350+0.7%W
10·17Patrick Bailey — Under 0.5Batter Walks-425-400-1.2%W
10·14Freddie Freeman — Over 0.5Batter Hits-200——L
10·14Garrett Mitchell — Over 0.5Batter Hits-110——W
10·14Jackson Chourio — Over 0.5Batter Hits-210——W
10·14Jake Bauers — Over 0.5Batter Hits-105——W
10·14Joey Ortiz — Under 0.5Batter Hits-104——L
10·14Luis Lara — Under 0.5Batter Hits-104——W
10·14Miguel Rojas — Under 0.5Batter Hits+113——L
10·14Mookie Betts — Under 0.5Batter Hits+188——L
10·14Cooper Pratt — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-125——W
10·14Freddie Freeman — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-196——L
10·14Garrett Mitchell — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-110——W
10·14Jackson Chourio — Over 1.5Batter Total Bases+138——W
10·14Jake Bauers — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-105——W
10·14Miguel Rojas — Under 0.5Batter Total Bases+101——L
10·14Mookie Betts — Under 1.5Batter Total Bases-157——W
10·14Shohei Ohtani — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-165——W
10·14Teoscar Hernandez — Under 1.5Batter Total Bases-165——W
10·14Will Smith — Under 1.5Batter Total Bases-199——L
10·14William Contreras — Under 1.5Batter Total Bases-208——W
10·14Cooper Pratt — Over 0.5Batter Walks+225——L
10·14Jake Bauers — Over 0.5Batter Walks-110——L
10·14Luis Lara — Under 0.5Batter Walks-228——W
10·14Mookie Betts — Under 0.5Batter Walks-238——W
Showing 60 of 26765 graded · full history regenerated nightly
DISCIPLINE — LATEST SCAN
4evaluated 0met the bar 4passes

Every market is held to a minimum-edge bar; almost all fail it. Passing is the default output, on purpose — a model that finds edges everywhere has found a bug in itself.

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