TTP TAKE THE PITCH MLB · PAPER TRIAL
PAPER TRIAL — 15279 SIGNALS GRADED
THE LEDGER
Every graded signal, in the order it was graded. Nothing removed, ever.
GRADED
15279
MEASURED
9578
AVG CLV
+0.8%
RECORD
8430–6849–0

THE CLOCKS · EACH MARKET RACES TO 200

VERDICTS ARE PER MARKET · CLV DECIDES
Batter Hits
3247/200+1.0%2715–2570–0
iterate the model, not the stakes: avg CLV +0.98% is positive but under the +1.5% scale-in bar
Batter Total Bases
3121/200+0.8%2666–2372–0
iterate the model, not the stakes: avg CLV +0.76% is positive but under the +1.5% scale-in bar
Batter Walks
2869/200+0.6%2782–1659–0
iterate the model, not the stakes: avg CLV +0.59% is positive but under the +1.5% scale-in bar
Pitcher Walks
341/200+0.9%267–248–0
iterate the model, not the stakes: avg CLV +0.95% is positive but under the +1.5% scale-in bar
Batter Home Runs
0/200
!

How these numbers were measured: closing-line capture on this system failed silently until July 23, 2026, and the CLV figures published on this page before that date were wrong. Of 15279 graded signals, 5701 carry no closing-line measurement and are excluded from every CLV figure on this page — a missing close is left blank, never counted as zero. The averages here rest on the 9578 signals where a real closing price was captured within 60 minutes of first pitch. 2032 of those closed against fewer than three books quoting the line. One market — pitcher walks — has no close measured against three or more books at all; its average rests entirely on two-book closes (n=341). A full written account follows in the notebook.

CUMULATIVE CLV — THE WHOLE STORY IN ONE LINE

ABOVE 0 = BEATING THE CLOSE
0 +7581.2%
Running total of closing-line value across every measured signal on the live verdict clocks, in grading order. Above the dashed zero line, the model has been beating the close; below it, the market has been winning the argument.

GRADED LEDGER · LAST 60

CLV OUTRANKS W–L
DATESIGNALMARKET LOGGEDCLOSECLV RESULT
08·24Willson Contreras — Over 0.5Batter Hits-208L
08·24Xavier Edwards — Over 0.5Batter Hits-198W
08·24Willi Castro — Over 0.5Batter Hits-160W
08·24Zach McKinstry — Under 0.5Batter Hits+120W
08·24Tristan Peters — Over 0.5Batter Hits-140W
08·24Zach Neto — Under 0.5Batter Hits+164L
08·24Zack Gelof — Over 0.5Batter Hits-200W
08·24Trea Turner — Under 0.5Batter Hits+155W
08·24Weston Wilson — Under 0.5Batter Hits-149W
08·24Ty France — Over 0.5Batter Hits-186W
08·24Xavier Edwards — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-192W
08·24Willi Castro — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-160W
08·24Yandy Diaz — Under 1.5Batter Total Bases-135W
08·24Zach McKinstry — Under 0.5Batter Total Bases+120W
08·24Zach Neto — Under 1.5Batter Total Bases-150W
08·24Trea Turner — Under 1.5Batter Total Bases-190W
08·24Ty France — Over 1.5Batter Total Bases+160L
08·24Mickey Gasper — Over 0.5Batter Hits-142W
08·24Mickey Moniak — Over 0.5Batter Hits-185W
08·24Nasim Nunez — Over 0.5Batter Hits-150L
08·24TJ Rumfield — Over 0.5Batter Hits-200W
08·24Ryan Vilade — Under 0.5Batter Hits+150L
08·24Taylor Walls — Under 0.5Batter Hits+106W
08·24Sam Antonacci — Over 0.5Batter Hits-206L
08·24Michael Conforto — Under 0.5Batter Hits+125L
08·24Nolan Arenado — Over 0.5Batter Hits-175L
08·24Pete Crow-Armstrong — Under 1.5Batter Hits-230W
08·24Ryan Waldschmidt — Over 0.5Batter Hits-126L
08·24Seiya Suzuki — Over 0.5Batter Hits-235W
08·24Mike Trout — Under 0.5Batter Hits+143L
08·24Moises Ballesteros — Under 0.5Batter Hits+121L
08·24Nathaniel Lowe — Under 0.5Batter Hits+145W
08·24Steven Kwan — Under 0.5Batter Hits+194L
08·24Royce Lewis — Under 1.5Batter Hits-227W
08·24Ryan Jeffers — Under 1.5Batter Hits-230W
08·24Tommy White — Over 0.5Batter Hits-225L
08·24Taylor Ward — Over 0.5Batter Hits-105L
08·24Nick Gonzales — Over 0.5Batter Hits-225W
08·24Oneil Cruz — Over 0.5Batter Hits-120L
08·24Mickey Gasper — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-147W
08·24Otto Lopez — Over 1.5Batter Total Bases+146W
08·24Mickey Moniak — Over 1.5Batter Total Bases+141L
08·24Ryan Vilade — Under 1.5Batter Total Bases-190W
08·24Spencer Torkelson — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-118W
08·24Taylor Walls — Under 0.5Batter Total Bases+108W
08·24Michael Conforto — Under 0.5Batter Total Bases+121L
08·24Nico Hoerner — Under 1.5Batter Total Bases-162W
08·24Nolan Arenado — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-170L
08·24Pedro Ramirez — Under 1.5Batter Total Bases-182L
08·24Pete Crow-Armstrong — Under 1.5Batter Total Bases-105W
08·24Ryan Waldschmidt — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-127L
08·24Moises Ballesteros — Under 0.5Batter Total Bases+115L
08·24Nathaniel Lowe — Under 1.5Batter Total Bases-185W
08·24Steven Kwan — Under 1.5Batter Total Bases-170L
08·24Royce Lewis — Under 1.5Batter Total Bases-110W
08·24Ryan Jeffers — Under 1.5Batter Total Bases-115W
08·24Tommy White — Under 1.5Batter Total Bases-160W
08·24Randy Arozarena — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-148L
08·24Taylor Ward — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases+103L
08·24Oneil Cruz — Over 0.5Batter Total Bases-120L
Showing 60 of 15279 graded · full history regenerated nightly
DISCIPLINE — LATEST SCAN
362evaluated 0met the bar 362passes

Every market is held to a minimum-edge bar; almost all fail it. Passing is the default output, on purpose — a model that finds edges everywhere has found a bug in itself.

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