TTP TAKE THE PITCH MLB · PAPER TRIAL
ONE SITUATION A DAY · CHOSEN BY RULE, NOT BY MOOD
THE PITCH
The single loudest model-market disagreement on today's slate — or an honest pass when nothing clears the bar. Frozen at selection time, graded in public, never edited after the fact.

TODAY'S PITCH · 2026-10-18

PAPER ONLY · NOT ADVICE
DISCIPLINE DAY
EVERY MARKET HELD TO THE BAR · NO SWING
PASS — DID NOT CLEAR THE BAR

THE CASE

No paper signal had cleared the bar when today's card froze. Passing is the engine's default output, on purpose.

THE COUNTER

The honest counter to a quiet card: maybe the model is blind, not the market efficient. A trial proves that apart only with volume — which is exactly what the ledger is for.

THE ARCHIVE

STAMPED NIGHTLY · NOTHING REMOVED
PITCHES GRADED
73
RECORD
42–31–0
AVG CLV
+2.9%
10·17
Chase DeLauter — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
-2.4% CLVWIN
10·16
Jo Adell — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
VOID
10·15
DISCIPLINE DAY
EVERY MARKET HELD TO THE BAR · NO SWING
PASS
10·14
Robert Gasser — Over 0.5
Pitcher Walks · LINE 0.5
WIN
10·13
Petey Halpin — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
LOSS
10·12
Jo Adell — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
WIN
10·11
William Contreras — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
+1.1% CLVLOSS
10·10
Sean Burke — Over 1.5
Pitcher Walks · LINE 1.5
LOSS
10·09
DISCIPLINE DAY
EVERY MARKET HELD TO THE BAR · NO SWING
PASS
10·08
Jose Ramirez — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
-2.2% CLVLOSS
10·07
Walker Buehler — Over 1.5
Pitcher Walks · LINE 1.5
WIN
10·06
Mookie Betts — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
0.0% CLVWIN
10·05
Angel Martinez — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
+0.5% CLVWIN
10·04
Michael Harris II — Over 0.5
Batter Total Bases · LINE 0.5
+1.7% CLVWIN
10·03
David Fry — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
WIN
10·02
DISCIPLINE DAY
EVERY MARKET HELD TO THE BAR · NO SWING
PASS
10·01
DISCIPLINE DAY
EVERY MARKET HELD TO THE BAR · NO SWING
PASS
09·30
Hunter Brown — Over 2.5
Pitcher Walks · LINE 2.5
0.0% CLVLOSS
09·29
Jesus Luzardo — Over 0.5
Pitcher Walks · LINE 0.5
-4.8% CLVWIN
09·28
DISCIPLINE DAY
EVERY MARKET HELD TO THE BAR · NO SWING
PASS
09·27
David Fry — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
-0.5% CLVLOSS
09·26
Trey Yesavage — Over 1.5
Pitcher Walks · LINE 1.5
-8.0% CLVLOSS
09·25
Jacob Lopez — Over 1.5
Pitcher Walks · LINE 1.5
+7.5% CLVWIN
09·24
Kyle Schwarber — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
-2.4% CLVWIN
09·23
Jose Siri — Under 1.5
Batter Total Bases · LINE 1.5
+2.2% CLVWIN
09·22
Luisangel Acuna — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
WIN
09·21
Coby Mayo — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
+0.9% CLVWIN
09·20
Brandon Nimmo — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
VOID
09·19
Bubba Chandler — Over 1.5
Pitcher Walks · LINE 1.5
+28.3% CLVLOSS
09·18
DISCIPLINE DAY
EVERY MARKET HELD TO THE BAR · NO SWING
PASS
09·17
Max Muncy — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
WIN
09·16
Ke'Bryan Hayes — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
VOID
09·15
Max Muncy — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
+7.0% CLVWIN
09·14
Fernando Tatis Jr. — Under 2.5
Batter Total Bases · LINE 2.5
LOSS
09·13
Max Muncy — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
WIN
09·12
Max Muncy — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
WIN
09·11
Max Muncy — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
LOSS
09·10
Henry Davis — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
VOID
09·09
Jose Siri — Under 0.5
Batter Total Bases · LINE 0.5
LOSS
09·08
Xander Bogaerts — Over 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
+3.6% CLVWIN
09·07
Michael McGreevy — Under 1.5
Pitcher Walks · LINE 1.5
+25.7% CLVLOSS
09·06
Myles Straw — Under 0.5
Batter Total Bases · LINE 0.5
+3.0% CLVLOSS
09·03
Myles Straw — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
WIN
09·02
Brandon Williamson — Over 1.5
Pitcher Walks · LINE 1.5
WIN
09·01
Wyatt Langford — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
WIN
08·31
Dylan Beavers — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
WIN
08·30
Trevor Larnach — Over 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
0.0% CLVLOSS
08·29
Mitch Bratt — Over 1.5
Pitcher Walks · LINE 1.5
VOID
08·25
DISCIPLINE DAY
EVERY MARKET HELD TO THE BAR · NO SWING
PASS
08·24
Jeff McNeil — Under 1.5
Batter Total Bases · LINE 1.5
LOSS
08·22
Myles Straw — Under 0.5
Batter Total Bases · LINE 0.5
+2.4% CLVLOSS
08·21
Max Muncy — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
+1.5% CLVLOSS
08·20
Jeff McNeil — Under 1.5
Batter Hits · LINE 1.5
0.0% CLVWIN
08·19
Tyler O'Neill — Under 1.5
Batter Total Bases · LINE 1.5
WIN
08·18
Carlos Rodon — Over 1.5
Pitcher Walks · LINE 1.5
WIN
08·17
Austin Martin — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
VOID
08·16
Hunter Brown — Over 2.5
Pitcher Walks · LINE 2.5
WIN
08·15
Evan Carter — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
0.0% CLVLOSS
08·14
Bubba Chandler — Over 1.5
Pitcher Walks · LINE 1.5
+10.5% CLVWIN
08·13
Evan Carter — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
LOSS
08·12
Myles Straw — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
LOSS
08·11
Jeff McNeil — Under 1.5
Batter Total Bases · LINE 1.5
WIN
08·10
Wyatt Langford — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
LOSS
08·09
Myles Straw — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
+21.4% CLVLOSS
08·08
Bubba Chandler — Over 1.5
Pitcher Walks · LINE 1.5
+11.8% CLVLOSS
08·07
Myles Straw — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
WIN
08·06
Myles Straw — Under 0.5
Batter Total Bases · LINE 0.5
-8.8% CLVWIN
08·05
Lawrence Butler — Under 1.5
Batter Total Bases · LINE 1.5
0.0% CLVLOSS
08·04
Taylor Ward — Over 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
-6.1% CLVLOSS
08·03
Bubba Chandler — Over 2.5
Pitcher Walks · LINE 2.5
-2.2% CLVWIN
08·02
Wyatt Langford — Under 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
+0.4% CLVLOSS
08·01
Junior Caminero — Over 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
+4.4% CLVLOSS
07·31
Jose Ramirez — Over 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
-3.7% CLVWIN
07·30
Masataka Yoshida — Under 1.5
Batter Hits · LINE 1.5
-0.3% CLVWIN
07·29
Cal Raleigh — Under 1.5
Batter Total Bases · LINE 1.5
+2.8% CLVWIN
07·28
Colton Cowser — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
+20.0% CLVWIN
07·27
Masataka Yoshida — Under 1.5
Batter Hits · LINE 1.5
0.0% CLVWIN
07·26
Taylor Ward — Over 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
-4.1% CLVLOSS
07·25
Miguel Vargas — Over 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
-2.0% CLVLOSS
07·24
Masataka Yoshida — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
+8.3% CLVWIN
07·23
NO PITCH WAS FROZEN
PROCESS FAULT · PUBLISH RACED THE MORNING SCAN
FAULT
07·22
Martin Perez — Over 1.5
Pitcher Walks · LINE 1.5
WIN
07·21
Rhys Hoskins — Under 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
WIN
07·20
DISCIPLINE DAY
EVERY MARKET HELD TO THE BAR · NO SWING
PASS
07·19
Taylor Ward — Over 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
WIN
07·18
Lawrence Butler — Under 1.5
Batter Total Bases · LINE 1.5
WIN
07·17
DISCIPLINE DAY
EVERY MARKET HELD TO THE BAR · NO SWING
PASS
07·16
DISCIPLINE DAY
EVERY MARKET HELD TO THE BAR · NO SWING
PASS
07·15
DISCIPLINE DAY
EVERY MARKET HELD TO THE BAR · NO SWING
PASS
07·14
DISCIPLINE DAY
EVERY MARKET HELD TO THE BAR · NO SWING
PASS
07·13
DISCIPLINE DAY
EVERY MARKET HELD TO THE BAR · NO SWING
PASS
07·12
Mike Trout — Over 0.5
Batter Walks · LINE 0.5
LOSS
07·11
Bryce Eldridge — Over 0.5
Batter Hits · LINE 0.5
LOSS
07·10
Sean Burke — Over 16.5
Pitcher Outs · LINE 16.5
VOID
TTPTAKE THE PITCH

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